Wellington Lifelines Resilience Programme business case

Economic modelling of a Wellington Fault earthquake scenario to evaluate the effectiveness of infrastructure investment options.

Resilient Organisations partnered with Market Economics and GNS Science to carry out economic modelling of a Wellington Fault event.

The modelling was designed to evaluate the benefits of a range of infrastructure investment options in the Wellington region.  The modelling was carried out using MERIT, a state of the art economic modelling tool developed to estimate the economic impacts of infrastructure disruption.

Resilient Organisations led the development of the behavioural assumptions that underpin the economic modelling. Drawing on data from the Canterbury earthquakes, international disaster events, and a series of workshops with key Wellington stakeholders, Resilient Organisations developed model assumptions around likely population and business behaviours following a Wellington Fault earthquake. 

Project goals

  1. To provide an economic impact assessment to support development of a programme business case for investment in Wellington infrastructure.
  2. To develop a narrative of the Wellington Fault event, in particular the likely population and business responses to a Wellington Fault earthquake, with and without infrastructure investments.

Key contact

Charlotte Brown

Principal Research Consultant
Resilient Organisations Ltd
[email protected]

Erica Seville

Executive Director
Resilient Organisations Ltd

Project team

Charlotte Brown

Principal Research Consultant
Resilient Organisations Ltd

 

Erica Seville

Executive Director
Resilient Organisations Ltd

Our funders

We are grateful for our funder, Wellington Region Lifelines Group who supports our research and has contributed to this project.