Resilient Organisations partnered with Market Economics and GNS Science to carry out economic modelling of a Wellington Fault event.
The modelling was designed to evaluate the benefits of a range of infrastructure investment options in the Wellington region. The modelling was carried out using MERIT, a state of the art economic modelling tool developed to estimate the economic impacts of infrastructure disruption.
Resilient Organisations led the development of the behavioural assumptions that underpin the economic modelling. Drawing on data from the Canterbury earthquakes, international disaster events, and a series of workshops with key Wellington stakeholders, Resilient Organisations developed model assumptions around likely population and business behaviours following a Wellington Fault earthquake.
To provide an economic impact assessment to support the development of a programme business case for investment in Wellington infrastructure and to develop a narrative of the Wellington Fault event, in particular the likely population and business responses to a Wellington Fault earthquake, with and without infrastructure investments.
Principal Research Consultant
Resilient Organisations Ltd
This project was commissioned by the Wellington Region Lifelines Group.
Wellington Lifelines have published a report with the key findings from this project, Protecting Wellington's Economy Through Accelerated Infrastructure Investment Programme Business Case, October 2019.
A paper has been published in the Australian Journal of Disaster and Trauma Studies (AJDTS), From physical disruption to community impact: Modelling a Wellington Fault earthquake, outlining how strong stakeholder engagement and integrated modelling enabled the development of a comprehensive and robust narrative to support the modelling in this project.