Current economic models used to assess the impact of disruptions on urban centres are not well calibrated to model the impacts of disruption on central government services. However, disruption to critical government services can have cascade impacts throughout the economy, ranging from disruption to social welfare services, tax/revenue collection, and social services (education, health, justice), to disruption of professional and other services that support government function. Even a small change in government productivity could have a resulting large economic impact.
Wellington, the capital city of New Zealand, is particularly susceptible to disruption by a major earthquake event. This project looks at the impact of the 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand, earthquake on central government productivity in Wellington. The project looks at the impact of the event through a series of case studies and data analysis. Data collected will be used to create a model of central government productivity impacts following disruption, for application within MERIT. Once developed, the new model will be applied to an economic impact analysis of Alpine Fault earthquake scenario.
Senior Research Consultant
Resilient Organisations Ltd
e : [email protected]