Post-disaster reconstruction dynamics

Modelling the effects of alternative reconstruction pathways on earthquake recovery.

Project overview

What impact does the pace and sequencing of post-disaster reconstruction have on:

  • economic recovery?
  • on availability of materials and labour?
  • on reconstruction quality? 

This project set out to develop a dynamic model to simulate the reconstruction process and to assess the effect of alternative reconstruction pathways.  The model is based on data gathered following the 2010-2011 Canterbury earthquakes and continuous consultation with industry experts. 

The model focuses on simulating reconstruction processes so that the model can be applied to any post-disaster context.  It has been designed for potential future integration into MERIT (Measuring the Economics of Resilient Infrastructure Tool). The model can be used to help recovery and reconstruction managers ask questions such as: what dynamics play out to influence different reconstruction pathways?; what pace and sequencing of rebuild is desired to deliver an effective recovery?; and what are the economic implications of recovery decisions?

The research contributes to better recovery planning and policy development for future events in New Zealand and internationally.

Key contact

Charlotte Brown

Principal Research Consultant
Resilient Organisations Ltd
e : [email protected]

Project team

Charlotte Brown

Resilient Organisations

Nicola Smith

Market Economics

Alice Chang-Richards 

University of Auckland

Our funders

This project is funded by QuakeCoRE.

 

 

Project report

A system dynamics model of post-earthquake reconstruction pathways

Alice Chang-Richards, Charlotte Brown, Nicola Smith. QuakeCoRE project: Effects of alternative reconstruction pathways on earthquake recovery (project # 3710620), 2017.